Here is the basis of my question. Greg K. in his recent interview in the chat room gave an interesting statistic. Long term he found himself to be correct in any given ARV session 55% of the time and was correct 77% of the time in his actual decision making. His ability to get the higher actual decision-making came from doing multiple sessions on a given yes/no type question.

So from a pure mathematical basis can the following question be answered? Assuming that one would view the correct target 55% of the time, how many sessions would you need to do to get a 75% hit ratio? As an example lets say a person did 10 sessions on a given question and had 6 that said yes and 4 that said no, again going in with the knowledge that over time one could count on hitting 55% constantly, one should be able to say that with the ten sessions done the chances of a correct decision is X %. And to perhaps make the point a bit clearer; if one did 100 sessions and had 55 of them that said yes and 45 said no; then I would assume that the chances of being right increase because you did 100 sessions verses 10. I think this has something to do with a Ã¢â‚¬Å“Z scoreÃ¢â‚¬Â, but I will admit that my looking at Z scores is akin to my dog watching TV, it fascinates him but he doesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t understand it in the least.

So assuming a 55% hit rate how many sessions need to be done to statistically guarentee a 75% correct choice result.

If for some reason you prefer to communicate privately please feel free to do so IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢m cautious2@wmconnect.com

Thank you,

Gene Smith